Link to original article: Quantitative Perspectives: Turbulence on the Approach
Volatility continues to cloud the venture market
Inflation rates are stabilizing, and the recent couple of IPOs have brought hope that a pickup in the exit market may be around the corner, raising the possibility that the VC industry is headed for a softer landing than its pessimists predicted. But that’s not to say the skies are clear: Our recession model is still pegging the probability of a recession at 73%, and high interest rates still make less-risky alternatives to venture more attractive to asset managers.
With over 30 charts, our VC-focused Q3 2023 Quantitative Perspectives: Turbulence on the Approach peers into the state of the industry and what the future could hold as the IPO window slowly reopens.